Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000290 0.000325 0.000362 0.000406 0.000455 0.000510 0.000574
2025-01-05 0.000234 0.000285 0.000346 0.000423 0.000520 0.000638 0.000793
2025-01-12 0.000190 0.000246 0.000317 0.000414 0.000545 0.000717 0.000961
2025-01-19 0.000156 0.000212 0.000286 0.000394 0.000547 0.000761 0.001087
2025-01-26 0.000139 0.000196 0.000276 0.000398 0.000581 0.000850 0.001284
2025-02-02 0.000129 0.000190 0.000278 0.000417 0.000637 0.000976 0.001555
2025-02-09 0.000116 0.000175 0.000265 0.000412 0.000655 0.001046 0.001747
2025-02-16 0.000107 0.000166 0.000259 0.000416 0.000686 0.001140 0.001992
2025-02-23 0.000097 0.000155 0.000248 0.000412 0.000702 0.001211 0.002206
2025-03-02 0.000090 0.000148 0.000243 0.000415 0.000730 0.001303 0.002474
2025-03-09 0.000083 0.000140 0.000235 0.000413 0.000750 0.001384 0.002732
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000128 0.000219 0.000395 0.000735 0.001397 0.002854
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000122 0.000215 0.000397 0.000763 0.001499 0.003187
2025-03-30 0.000067 0.000120 0.000217 0.000414 0.000822 0.001675 0.003722
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000113 0.000207 0.000405 0.000827 0.001739 0.004014
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000103 0.000193 0.000385 0.000806 0.001743 0.004161
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000099 0.000190 0.000389 0.000838 0.001871 0.004644
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000099 0.000194 0.000408 0.000905 0.002089 0.005409
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000094 0.000188 0.000403 0.000918 0.002180 0.005847
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000091 0.000186 0.000407 0.000951 0.002327 0.006476
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000087 0.000180 0.000403 0.000964 0.002425 0.006983
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000084 0.000177 0.000405 0.000994 0.002570 0.007671
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000081 0.000173 0.000404 0.001014 0.002693 0.008317